BJS Juvenile Crime Report

The report is here.

I encourage you to read the report. I will briefly mention some things I found interesting.

  • Juvenile crime was pretty steady from 2014 to 2019. Obviously, 2020 to 2022 is a tough three-year stretch to compare due to what happened then with COVID-19, the government’s response to COVID-19, and rioting. We’ll see what happens when 2023 is compared to 2014 through 2019 and 2022. Barring anything unusual happening in society, I suspect the 2023 data will begin to look like a continuation of 2014 through 2019.
  • Juvenile crime follows a similar downward crime trajectory that violent crime has been following since 1993. There are moments of slight increase, only to be followed by a further downward trend.
  • I was shocked to see this in the report: “In both 2021 and 2022, juveniles accounted for a larger percentage of arrests for carjacking than for any other violent crime.” Since these are arrests, there are likely more who attempted or completed a carjack but didn’t get caught. There is an opportunity for a deep dive here to understand the circumstances around these incidents.

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