In response to minor but detailed criticism of the 2021 National Firearm Survey, William English did another survey in 2026. The results are quite interesting, but mostly in line with the 2021 survey. I will stress that this is from a working paper available here, so things may change when a final report is issued. […]
Tag: Violent Crime Reporting
Statistics and Biased Sampling
Back in 1948, the Chicago Tribune published a newspaper declaring “Dewey Defeats Truman.” There was only one problem: Truman won. Here is an AI summary of the event. The 1948 U.S. presidential election is a landmark event in polling history, famously illustrated by the erroneous headline “DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN” published by the Chicago Daily Tribune. This […]
Violent Crime Is All About Youth
A report from the Bureau of Justice Statistics on victim/offender age groups for 2023 was just released. You can get it here. Keep in mind that the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) includes simple assault as a violent crime (but excludes murder since it is a survey of crime victims), but the Uniform Crime Reporting […]
Unchallenged Assumptions and Overlooked Questions
I’ve put together a presentation on concealed carry. There is a color one for viewing and a black & white one for printing. Enjoy!
2023 NIBRS Report – A Self-Defense Perspective
Hello Everyone, The Uniform Crime Reporting program has been gradually moving to a new database called NIBRS. NIBRS promises a wealth of additional detail about crime reported to law enforcement. In 2023, NIBRS submissions covered approximately 80% of the United States. I felt that this coverage was sufficient to begin to analyze the data from […]
FBI Crime Data
Here is an article on The Federalist talking about FBI Crime Data Distortions. https://thefederalist.com/2025/02/14/trumps-fbi-reforms-need-to-include-ending-its-data-distortions-on-crime
NIBRS Reports Coming – A Methodology
I’m currently working with a data scientist on parsing the 2023 NIBRS data and generating reports from that data. Using these reports, I’ll be able to directly compare NIBRS to the NCVS data I have in my book. In some instances, there will be new fields in NIBRS, which I hope sheds light on violent […]
LEOKA 2023
In my book, I covered Law Enforcement Officers Killed or Asssaulted (LEOKA). I think now that 2020, 2021, and 2022 have passed, 2023 provides a good opportunity to get back to a certain type of normalcy. However, in talking to many customer-oriented businesses, they report a large increase of rudeness after the pandemic. It is […]
Firearm Violence Report
The Rise of Fentanyl & Crystal Meth Arrests
This information comes from the Bureau of Justice Statistics. Here is the full report for Methamphetamine, Cocaine, and Other Psychostimulant Offenses in Federal Courts, 2022 Unfortunately, the report seems to emphasize increases/decreases from FY2021 to FY2022 (FY = Fiscal Year). Since 2021 is still a “pandemic” year that suffers from a variety of governmental restrictions […]